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Gaza's Future
- The Israeli media has reported that US President Donald Trump is planning to give a speech in which he proposes the rehabilitation of Gaza under American leadership with significant U.S. funding—but only if Hamas is no longer in power. Since all other ideas have failed, the Administration now reportedly wants to send a blunt message to Gaza’s civilian population that the only thing standing between them and the rehabilitation of the Strip is Hamas.
- One US official noted earlier in the week that Israel and the US have both agreed to push for an all-encompassing deal instead of a partial ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
- Today, Israel’s Cabinet is meeting to discuss the future of Gaza and the war. Following Hamas’s withdrawal from ceasefire talks and its refusal to reach a deal with the Jewish state, Israel’s government will discuss the possibility of reoccupying Gaza.
- Prime Minister Netanyahu has been speaking about conquering the entire Gaza Strip to rid it of Hamas completely. The implication of such a decision, if reached, would be to instruct the IDF to enter areas in the Gaza Strip where it has not previously operated (or has only been present in a low-profile manner), including the major refugee camps in central Gaza and Gaza City.
- One of the reasons that the IDF has not operated in these densely-populated areas has been that the remaining hostages are likely held in those areas. The fear is that if IDF troops are active in the vicinity of a place where hostages are held, the captives would likely be executed.
- According to Israeli media, the IDF’s Chief of the General Staff LT. Gen. Eyal Zamir is reluctant to occupy the entire Gaza Strip, saying that it is not the IDF's role to rule over two million Palestinians and take care of their daily needs. Zamir also noted that operating with full force in those areas will endanger the remaining hostages, as well as the IDF soldiers fighting there.
- It remains unclear whether the Cabinet will vote to proceed to occupy the entirety of the Gaza Strip, or will begin by occupying a smaller area. Some commentators suggest that these threats are a negotiating strategy aimed at coaxing Hamas to reach a deal.
- The thinking behind this approach is to potentially sacrifice the lives of the hostages so that Hamas can be totally defeated and the war brought to a close. This could also allow for an end to the humanitarian crisis, and the beginning of a process to rebuild Gaza.
- Israel’s President Isaac Herzog, currently on a state visit to Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, showed the Estonian President images of Evyatar David and Rom Braslavsky, held hostage by Hamas, juxtaposed against a staged photo, revealed by a German newspaper, showing Gazans holding empty pots in front of cameras (details here), but not in a food line. Herzog said:
“This is an image of Evyatar David, a young kid who was at the party, at the Nova Festival, and he is now skin and bones. His situation is life-threatening. And you see the fat hand of his captor – they have food there… Therefore, in order to resolve the situation, we tell the world: You want to move forward? Get a hostage deal, get a ceasefire…. Instead of that, we see a PR campaign like this one revealed in a German newspaper. You see a photographer staging Gaza people to show that they are lacking food. This is staged. We don't shy away from the humanitarian need to help the people of Gaza, but we ask the world not to fall for the lies. Condemn Hamas and say to Hamas, you want to move on? Get the hostages out.”
- President Herzog spoke by phone on Monday with the President of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC), Mirjana Spoljaric, who is based in Geneva. The President conveyed the urgent danger facing the Israeli hostages and the need for immediate action to assist them. He called on the Red Cross to intervene and provide medical assistance to the hostages, who he said are in critical condition and being deliberately starved as part of Hamas’s brutal manipulation, which is a blatant violation of international humanitarian law. He said, “The horrifying images of Evyatar and Rom, their bones protruding from starvation, indicate they are in mortal danger — we urge the Red Cross to act in every possible way to help the hostages.”
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